Bayesian Networks

1. Objectives The purpose of this theme is to represent and solve problems with events probabilistic using Bayesian networks. The aspects pursued in this topic are: ■ understanding issues involving uncertainty in natural language ■ determining the variables and the connections between them ■ Correct representation of causal relationships between variables using a Bayesian network ■ the correct transposition of the probabilities associated with the variables in the Bayes network ■ calculation of probabilities based on the representation using the Bayes network ■ deploy a Bayes network using a dedicated application 2. Proposed problems The theme starts from 3 problems given in natural language. Every problem contains certain probabilistic events and relationships between events that will be represented using a Bayes network. In each problem you will be asked for more probabilities, which you will calculate using the associated Bayes network structure.